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The extradition hearings will resume at Huawei Meng Wanzhou

When Meng Wanzhou’s flight landed in Vancouver on December 1, 2018, she was expecting to stop for only a short time. But after nearly two years, Huawei’s CFO and the daughter of the telecom giant’s founder appear to be preparing for an extended stay – putting a lot of pressure on relations between Canada and China.

Monday begins the next round of hearings in a drawn-out legal battle over her extradition to the United States.

Participants say the whole process could last for ten years, leaving Canada caught in the escalating tension between Washington and Beijing, and focusing on one of the most prominent Chinese companies.

In the center of the story is a sixteen-page PowerPoint presentation.

Vancouver stop and arrest

When her plane landed from Hong Kong, Meng Wanzhou planned to go to a home she owned in the Canadian city to pick up some luggage before boarding another flight to Mexico for a company meeting.

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Instead, Canadian Border Security officers interrogated her for three hours as her phone was confiscated and her luggage was searched.

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Meng Wanzhou lives under house arrest in Vancouver

When that ended, it was officially accepted into Canada. At this point, the Royal Canadian Mounted Police moved in and arrested her over an extradition request from the United States.

The United States wants Meng to be tried on charges that include fraud related to the alleged violation of US sanctions against Iran, allegations it has denied.

A PowerPoint is at the heart of the issue

PowerPoint was used by Ms. Meng at a meeting with HSBC on August 22, 2013, and viewed as primary evidence against her.

News reports from Reuters in previous months have raised questions about whether there has been a breach of trade sanctions on Iran by Hong Kong-based Skycom.

The dispute has been over whether Skycom, the vendor of communications equipment, is just a business partner of Huawei – or a front for it to hide its activities in Iran.

The United States claims that in the meeting – meeting with a PowerPoint presentation – Ms Meng misled HSBC about the true nature of Huawei’s relationship with Skycom and that in turn exposed the bank to the risk of violating sanctions against Iran.

Its attorneys say the US misled the court, particularly with regard to PowerPoint, by deleting key information in two slides that showed HSBC was not, in fact, in the dark about the true nature of the Skycom / Huawei relationship.

Meng’s lawyers unleash a legal battle

Extradition hearings are still ongoing, and Ms Meng’s lawyers have launched a multi-pronged attack on the US extradition request itself.

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Lawyers fight Meng Wanzhou extradition

that The initial attempt to claim that the crime she was accused of committing in the United States was not a crime in Canada (Although this can be challenged).

Another challenge focuses on politics around the issue.

Its attorneys allege that US President Donald Trump’s comments, which indicated his willingness to use the case as a bargaining chip in trade negotiations with China, constitute an abuse of the process.

Another challenge has to do with her treatment at Vancouver Airport. Her lawyers say she has been treated ill.

They are fighting to uncover certain documents, including from the Canadian Security Intelligence Service, a national intelligence service, and are seeking to uncover the role US officials may have played in her arrest at the time.

A judge has already refused requests for some documents, which can in turn be appealed.

The result of all this is a legal process that will engage lawyers but is unlikely to move quickly.

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Meng Wanzhou’s case is being closely monitored both in Canada and abroad

Obviously, Meng’s lawyer would prefer them to win and be sent back to China as soon as possible. But if this is not likely and they suffer a series of defeats, they can switch to banning it being sent to the United States, which may include establishing legal procedures.

With so many different leads to the case that are already very unusual, and the possibility of appeal, the best estimate from some close to the case is that this could take at least five years and up to 10 years.

Geopolitical implications

During the course of the legal process, the impact of the case was widespread.

The arrest of a high-profile business figure sparked outrage in China, and this month the country’s ambassador said Canada had been “exploited” and “partnered” by America while Washington had carried out a “barbaric act of bullying.”

HSBC has been placed in a difficult position with Chinese media questioning the extent of the bank’s cooperation with the United States in building an issue they describe as a political trap.

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HSBC was arrested in the case

The bank, already caught between the West and China because of its position on Hong Kong, assured that it had only done what was legally required of it and that there was no trap.

The case also raises broader questions about which countries might arrest business executives if they received requests from the United States. This could worry Huawei executives and limit their travel, as well as worried governments that might find themselves stuck between the United States and China.

This has led to concerns that Western businessmen and other travelers may find themselves locked up by China to use as a bargaining chip.

Two Canadians were arrested days after Ms. Meng was arrested. Michael Kovrig, a former diplomat, and Michael Spavor, a businessman, were later charged with espionage.

China denied any connection with it, but the couple’s detention was widely interpreted as a direct response to Ms Meng’s arrest.

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Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau describes the arrest of “Two Michaels” as arbitrary

This month, a group of former Canadian diplomats called on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to negotiate the exchange of Ms. Meng for the two men.

Mr Trudeau had previously criticized the use of “arbitrary detention as a tool to achieve political goals” and said that stopping her extradition could put more Canadians at risk.

Canada is concerned that it will be seen to have to shorten legal procedures, and it is also aware that this could risk angering the Trump administration, which has been set on a tougher approach in China.

It seems unlikely at the moment that Washington will abandon its case in its battles of a multi-pronged attack against Huawei specifically and China in general.

Political dynamics could change over time, including after the US presidential election in November.

But for now, Ms. Meng’s residency in Canada shows no sign of ending soon – or becoming less controversial.

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